PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Xhhh-060notgoodlucksainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (209–125, n=334)71% (10–4, n=14)56% (100–79, n=179)
Consensus PnL—-$49K$4.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #880PM monthly #613was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won94% of 141 at avg 69¢, ROI +18%60% of 346 at avg 59¢, ROI −3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 67% of 9)16% (won 14% of 56)0%7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 74% of 19)20% (won 36% of 70)50% (won 100% of 5)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 97% of 36)29% (won 63% of 99)50% (won 100% of 5)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 100% of 77)35% (won 92% of 121)0%24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.