← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| X1234567 | yen4u | lineth | qiu3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 91% (679–64, n=743) | 50% (214–217, n=431) | 89% (8–1, n=9) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $67K | $91K | $32K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #520 | PM monthly #835 | was PM monthly #573 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 91% (43 of 47 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5 at avg 49¢, ROI +15% | 94% of 613 at avg 90¢, ROI +3% | 63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17% | 98% of 43 at avg 57¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 4% (won 26% of 27) | 41% (won 29% of 177) | 5% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2) | 2% (won 57% of 14) | 14% (won 72% of 58) | 26% (won 91% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 5% (won 80% of 30) | 16% (won 84% of 67) | 56% (won 100% of 24) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 100% of 2) | 88% (won 99% of 542) | 30% (won 94% of 127) | 14% (won 100% of 6) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | X1234567 | yen4u | lineth | qiu3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $18K | — |