← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| X1234567 | zb8 | 0x50f7 | machinelearned | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 53% (483–436, n=919) | 81% (31563–7342, n=38905) | 65% (2206–1190, n=3396) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $394K | $562K | $35K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #319 | PM monthly #578 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Crypto −14 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5 at avg 49¢, ROI +15% | 57% of 866 at avg 54¢, ROI +5% | 89% of 28117 at avg 81¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 28% (won 11% of 244) | 14% (won 18% of 3904) | 3% (won 64% of 42) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2) | 18% (won 42% of 158) | 3% (won 100% of 787) | 6% (won 93% of 75) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 18% (won 68% of 152) | 6% (won 100% of 1765) | 28% (won 100% of 360) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 100% of 2) | 36% (won 96% of 312) | 77% (won 100% of 21661) | 63% (won 100% of 818) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | X1234567 | zb8 | 0x50f7 | machinelearned |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET opposite sides · consensus Down | — | — | Down $6.9K | Up $42 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET opposite sides · consensus Up | — | — | Down $1.1K | Up $303 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET same side · consensus Down | — | — | Up $56 | Up $82 |