PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
X1234567seeeeeeb88M
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (323–43, n=366)49% (645–663, n=1308)
Consensus PnL—$87$526K
Tracked asPM monthly #996PM monthly #986was PM monthly #629
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Mentions −14 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won100% of 5 at avg 49¢, ROI +15%97% of 108 at avg 80¢, ROI −4%55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 50% of 6)27% (won 18% of 337)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 6)36% (won 58% of 455)
Entries 50–70¢0%14% (won 100% of 15)30% (won 75% of 371)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 2)75% (won 100% of 81)7% (won 87% of 94)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.