PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Winning2...eschaworldchampion2026RN1Gggggrr88
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (15–17, n=32)49% (7263–7633, n=14896)89% (101–12, n=113)
Consensus PnL—$927K$13.4M$163K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #976PM monthly #384Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #654
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position58% (95 of 164 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=66, ROI −3%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—51% of 74 at avg 40¢, ROI +1%93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 103 at avg 57¢, ROI +43%
Entries under 30¢—32% (won 33% of 24)10% (won 52% of 2020)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—39% (won 55% of 29)22% (won 93% of 4355)26% (won 100% of 27)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 59% of 17)37% (won 99% of 7260)63% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 4)31% (won 100% of 5998)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.