← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Winning2... | stupid22 | chriszyy3 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 95% (195–11, n=206) | 95% (226–11, n=237) | 49% (7263–7633, n=14896) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$122K | $51K | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #976 | was PM monthly #268 + pinned | Hand-picked | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 94% (33 of 35 open) | 100% (12 of 12 open) | 58% (96 of 166 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=79 | Crypto −2 pts, n=39 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 297 at avg 95¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 251 at avg 97¢, ROI +1% | 93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 2% (won 50% of 6) | 1% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 52% of 2020) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 0% | 1% (won 50% of 2) | 22% (won 93% of 4355) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 1% (won 67% of 3) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 37% (won 99% of 7260) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 97% (won 96% of 288) | 98% (won 98% of 245) | 31% (won 100% of 5998) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Winning2... | stupid22 | chriszyy3 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $12K | No $58K | — |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.9K | Yes $22K | — |