PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
WhiteShark10jesterthegooseRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)no settled market80% (284–70, n=354)49% (9610–10110, n=19720)47% (125–143, n=268)
Consensus PnL—$207K$13.3M$19.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #908was PM monthly #562 + pinnedHand-pickedwas PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)53% (17 of 32 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
Weakest topic—Elections −5 pts, n=12—College Basketball −12 pts, n=163
Settled positions, side won—80% of 579 at avg 79¢, ROI +3%93% of 20810 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 8% of 83)10% (won 53% of 2181)0% (won 0% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 39% of 28)22% (won 94% of 4645)42% (won 47% of 535)
Entries 50–70¢—5% (won 65% of 31)37% (won 99% of 7657)57% (won 51% of 729)
Entries 70¢ and up—75% (won 97% of 437)30% (won 100% of 6327)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketWhiteShark10jesterthegooseRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Wild vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Wild
——Canucks $17Wild $48K