PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TyatsmrfacaigegeRin2xcsgostar
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (254–289, n=543)89% (1742–219, n=1961)67% (2–1, n=3)
Consensus PnL—-$20K$31K$40K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996PM monthly #465was PM monthly #806PM monthly #427
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)91% (21 of 23 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +43 pts n=210, ROI +42%
  • Soccer +44 pts n=10, ROI +43%
  • NBA +31 pts n=14, ROI +28%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Crypto ±0 pts, n=1249—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 251 at avg 55¢, ROI +41%92% of 1786 at avg 91¢, ROI +2%100% of 2 at avg 70¢, ROI +29%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 94% of 16)2% (won 13% of 30)0%
Entries 30–50¢—33% (won 96% of 82)2% (won 40% of 30)0%
Entries 50–70¢—42% (won 97% of 105)3% (won 51% of 53)50% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 48)94% (won 95% of 1673)50% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.