PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TyatsmrssddssdRin2xthemain
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (309–179, n=488)89% (1742–219, n=1961)65% (32–17, n=49)
Consensus PnL—$7.8K$31K-$244K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996PM monthly #543was PM monthly #806was PM monthly #590
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (7 of 12 open)91% (21 of 23 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Crypto ±0 pts, n=1249—
Settled positions, side won—96% of 315 at avg 67¢, ROI +29%92% of 1786 at avg 91¢, ROI +2%90% of 29 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 70% of 20)2% (won 13% of 30)10% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 91% of 32)2% (won 40% of 30)24% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 98% of 102)3% (won 51% of 53)28% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up—51% (won 99% of 161)94% (won 95% of 1673)38% (won 100% of 11)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketTyatsmrssddssdRin2xthemain
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $7.4KYes $98—
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.8KYes $19—
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $47—
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?
same side · consensus No
—No $698No $338—