PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd3B697c398136430AA46b5C2C62ec4166319Fa47-1770489446062calm919TrunglSatanishippie
Record (consensus markets)38% (130–213, n=343)88% (238–31, n=269)64% (420–239, n=659)49% (324–338, n=662)
Consensus PnL$7.1K$18K-$1.9K-$102K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #863PM monthly #603PM monthly #801was PM monthly #917
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 3 open)100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +38 pts n=26, ROI +57%
  • Soccer +11 pts n=138, ROI +9%
  • NBA +16 pts n=56, ROI +9%
Weakest topicNHL −7 pts, n=45———
Settled positions, side won51% of 290 at avg 38¢, ROI +9%92% of 252 at avg 71¢, ROI +21%93% of 455 at avg 69¢, ROI +21%83% of 402 at avg 56¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 34% of 77)0%1% (won 33% of 3)2% (won 44% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢61% (won 54% of 177)11% (won 70% of 27)9% (won 82% of 39)23% (won 75% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 70% of 33)32% (won 94% of 80)40% (won 94% of 183)66% (won 86% of 264)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 3)58% (won 95% of 145)51% (won 96% of 230)9% (won 89% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xd3B697c398136430AA46b5C2C62ec4166319Fa47-1770489446062calm919TrunglSatanishippie
LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Team Secret Whales
LOS $151—Team Secret Whales $2.1K—