← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xd3B697c398136430AA46b5C2C62ec4166319Fa47-1770489446062 | noreasapa | Gr33d | Satanishippie | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 38% (130–213, n=343) | 93% (3625–260, n=3885) | 88% (2298–315, n=2613) | 49% (324–338, n=662) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.1K | $139K | $37K | -$102K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #863 | was PM monthly #977 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #917 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 3 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 86% (6 of 7 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −7 pts, n=45 | Science −3 pts, n=22 | NFL −7 pts, n=53 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 290 at avg 38¢, ROI +9% | 93% of 3804 at avg 92¢, ROI +1% | 92% of 3431 at avg 91¢, ROI 0% | 83% of 402 at avg 56¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 34% of 77) | 6% (won 13% of 225) | 3% (won 14% of 107) | 2% (won 44% of 9) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 61% (won 54% of 177) | 1% (won 51% of 55) | 1% (won 48% of 44) | 23% (won 75% of 91) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 70% of 33) | 1% (won 72% of 39) | 5% (won 59% of 168) | 66% (won 86% of 264) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 92% (won 100% of 3485) | 91% (won 98% of 3112) | 9% (won 89% of 38) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.