PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd3B697c398136430AA46b5C2C62ec4166319Fa47-1770489446062noreasapaNe8omSatanishippie
Record (consensus markets)38% (130–213, n=343)93% (3625–260, n=3885)49% (133–138, n=271)49% (324–338, n=662)
Consensus PnL$7.1K$139K-$36K-$102K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #863was PM monthly #977PM monthly #374was PM monthly #917
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 3 open)40% (2 of 5 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +38 pts n=26, ROI +57%
  • Soccer +11 pts n=138, ROI +9%
  • NBA +16 pts n=56, ROI +9%
  • Soccer +46 pts n=118, ROI +43%
Weakest topicNHL −7 pts, n=45Science −3 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won51% of 290 at avg 38¢, ROI +9%93% of 3804 at avg 92¢, ROI +1%100% of 118 at avg 54¢, ROI +43%83% of 402 at avg 56¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 34% of 77)6% (won 13% of 225)6% (won 100% of 7)2% (won 44% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢61% (won 54% of 177)1% (won 51% of 55)33% (won 100% of 39)23% (won 75% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 70% of 33)1% (won 72% of 39)45% (won 100% of 53)66% (won 86% of 264)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 3)92% (won 100% of 3485)16% (won 100% of 19)9% (won 89% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.