PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SlavaUkrainiCORGIIBreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)68% (13–6, n=19)63% (379–226, n=605)45% (502–616, n=1118)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$24K$4.4M$11.1M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #967PM monthly #110PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus82% (18 of 22 open)25% (1 of 4 open)73% (24 of 33 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢—56% (won 99% of 214)35% (won 98% of 181)0%
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 100% of 129)34% (won 99% of 176)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 105)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSlavaUkrainiCORGIIBreakTheBank00gringo00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $98K—Yes $265K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
No $310K—No $347—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $38K—Yes $4.8K—
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.0K—No $13K—