PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SDG770BreakTheBank00gringo00omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)75% (3–1, n=4)45% (502–616, n=1118)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (13370–13521, n=26891)
Consensus PnL$3.2K$11.1M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #846PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)70% (23 of 33 open)no open consensus position58% (11 of 19 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won50% of 2 at avg 33¢, ROI −1%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 85% of 53)0%8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢0%35% (won 98% of 181)0%21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 1)34% (won 99% of 176)100% (won 86% of 7)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 105)0%32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.