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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1Vanchalkenstein
Record (consensus markets)47% (13886–15398, n=29284)53% (275–243, n=518)
Consensus PnL$14.8M-$1.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #582
Sides with the consensus56% (15 of 27 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NBA −3 pts, n=123
Settled positions, side won94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%54% of 580 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2538)10% (won 24% of 58)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5565)47% (won 51% of 271)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 9017)32% (won 60% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 8250)11% (won 77% of 64)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.