PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)49% (7039–7391, n=14430)89% (447–56, n=503)95% (1939–95, n=2034)
Consensus PnL$13.2M$9.5M$36.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #985PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus75% (15 of 20 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%100% of 1652 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 49% of 2167)7% (won 81% of 37)1% (won 100% of 24)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 92% of 4547)39% (won 85% of 197)41% (won 100% of 670)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 98% of 7502)49% (won 94% of 244)49% (won 100% of 805)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 100% of 6514)5% (won 96% of 24)9% (won 100% of 153)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.