PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1GoalLineGhost
Record (consensus markets)49% (7025–7367, n=14392)59% (2999–2052, n=5051)
Consensus PnL$13.2M$26.7M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #123
Sides with the consensus75% (15 of 20 open)53% (28 of 53 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 49% of 2167)9% (won 94% of 286)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 92% of 4547)11% (won 98% of 330)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 98% of 7502)22% (won 99% of 697)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 100% of 6514)58% (won 100% of 1787)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1GoalLineGhost
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.4KUnder $11K
Will Persita Tangerang win on 2026-10-25?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3No $301
Will Arema FC win on 2026-10-25?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2Yes $184
Will Bali United win on 2026-10-25?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $19Yes $43
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4KNo $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.1KUnder $1.6K