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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| RN1 | BreakTheBank | texaskid | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (7039–7391, n=14430) | 67% (450–220, n=670) | 65% (352–187, n=539) |
| Consensus PnL | $13.2M | $9.1M | $6.9M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (15 of 20 open) | 75% (46 of 61 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29 |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 468 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 49% of 2167) | 11% (won 87% of 52) | 1% (won 0% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 92% of 4547) | 35% (won 98% of 162) | 26% (won 68% of 148) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 98% of 7502) | 32% (won 99% of 152) | 69% (won 78% of 392) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 100% of 6514) | 22% (won 100% of 102) | 4% (won 87% of 23) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.