PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Eatpraylove0xbbf379252411511ADAb081F016Dc991aA6bbAA3A-1768154730738imnice
Record (consensus markets)50% (399–393, n=792)87% (516–77, n=593)86% (63–10, n=73)
Consensus PnL$525K$759K$4.7K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #576 + pinnedwas PM monthly #735was PM monthly #900
Sides with the consensus74% (39 of 53 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +42 pts n=292, ROI +40%
  • MLB +42 pts n=89, ROI +41%
  • Tennis +27 pts n=182, ROI +34%
Weakest topicNFL ±0 pts, n=39——
Settled positions, side won58% of 1167 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%90% of 709 at avg 56¢, ROI +38%86% of 103 at avg 72¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 6% of 433)2% (won 58% of 12)17% (won 39% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 48% of 83)23% (won 87% of 166)9% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 73% of 75)66% (won 91% of 465)6% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 97% of 576)9% (won 94% of 66)68% (won 100% of 70)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.