PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (224–250, n=474)58% (472–338, n=810)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL—$317K$300K$65K
Tracked asPM monthly #901was PM monthly #599was PM monthly #622PM monthly #273
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MMA +34 pts n=42, ROI +34%
  • MLB +32 pts n=67, ROI +32%
  • Mentions +24 pts n=261, ROI +24%
Weakest topic——Crypto −12 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—73% of 313 at avg 44¢, ROI +33%73% of 615 at avg 50¢, ROI +20%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 45% of 75)29% (won 34% of 177)0%
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 76% of 111)12% (won 67% of 76)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 85% of 113)28% (won 90% of 172)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 14)31% (won 95% of 190)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.