PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MrClaude11CORGIIBreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)52% (254–232, n=486)63% (379–225, n=604)45% (502–616, n=1118)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$77K$4.5M$11.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #511PM monthly #95PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position70% (23 of 33 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +19 pts n=11, ROI +28%
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −3 pts, n=86———
Settled positions, side won52% of 478 at avg 52¢, ROI −2%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 20% of 59)9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 39% of 163)56% (won 99% of 214)35% (won 98% of 181)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 60% of 191)34% (won 100% of 129)34% (won 99% of 176)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 92% of 65)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 105)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.