PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Monopoly_MoneysainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (10–4, n=14)45% (516–628, n=1144)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #832was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus87% (27 of 31 open)no open consensus position66% (27 of 41 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=83, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=278, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 530 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 83% of 54)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 98% of 188)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)34% (won 99% of 182)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%20% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMonopoly_MoneysainttroplayBreakTheBank
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $14K—No $34K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11K—Yes $36K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $7.6K—Yes $28K
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.9K—No $7.9K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $37K—Yes $274K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $139K—Yes $172K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $145—No $40K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.3K—No $13K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2K—Yes $1.4K