← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Monopoly_Money | beachboy4 | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12325–13202, n=25527) | 49% (870–902, n=1772) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $5.8M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #832 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (27 of 31 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 69% (35 of 51 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 811 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2507) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5408) | 41% (won 99% of 331) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8790) | 49% (won 99% of 397) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7551) | 5% (won 100% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Monopoly_Money | beachboy4 | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $292 | Yes $72 | — | — |