PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Monopoly_MoneyBreakTheBankCORGIIsainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (516–628, n=1144)62% (388–235, n=623)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL—$10.6M$4.5M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #832PM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus87% (27 of 31 open)65% (28 of 43 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=83, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=278, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 530 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 83% of 54)9% (won 91% of 35)0%
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 188)56% (won 99% of 214)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 182)34% (won 100% of 129)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 106)2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMonopoly_MoneyBreakTheBankCORGIIsainttroplay
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $14KNo $34K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11KYes $36K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $7.6KYes $26K——
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.9KNo $7.9K——
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $37KYes $274K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $139KYes $172K——
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $145No $40K——
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.3KNo $13K——
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2KYes $2.0K——