← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| libratus1 | penguin1125 | 0x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704 | PatienceCapital | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (401–198, n=599) | 47% (118–133, n=251) | 80% (992–253, n=1245) | 47% (40–46, n=86) |
| Consensus PnL | $60K | -$29K | $336K | $475K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #721 | was PM monthly #979 | was PM monthly #269 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (5 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 88% (43 of 49 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Politics −3 pts, n=43 | — | Politics −30 pts, n=14 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 783 at avg 71¢, ROI +4% | 76% of 156 at avg 53¢, ROI +23% | 91% of 1339 at avg 70¢, ROI +5% | 84% of 44 at avg 43¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 6% of 144) | 9% (won 57% of 14) | 11% (won 60% of 149) | 14% (won 33% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 43% of 49) | 37% (won 68% of 57) | 12% (won 85% of 165) | 39% (won 88% of 17) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 82% of 66) | 38% (won 83% of 60) | 14% (won 93% of 192) | 48% (won 95% of 21) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 97% of 524) | 16% (won 88% of 25) | 62% (won 97% of 833) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.