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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LaminionYamalRN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816ndb1
Record (consensus markets)44% (1823–2294, n=4117)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)61% (495–321, n=816)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$16K$14.8M-$352K$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #946PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #51PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (27 of 48 open)72% (13 of 18 open)68% (48 of 71 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=556—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won44% of 4195 at avg 44¢, ROI 0%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 20% of 933)10% (won 57% of 2537)15% (won 29% of 125)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 41% of 1646)22% (won 94% of 5518)34% (won 58% of 283)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 58% of 1379)36% (won 99% of 8928)43% (won 69% of 354)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 81% of 237)32% (won 100% of 7821)7% (won 80% of 60)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLaminionYamalRN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816ndb1
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $7.4KNo $146
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $129Over $2.6K—