PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LakersOlgaSineNooneEIBonereaper
Record (consensus markets)25% (1–3, n=4)57% (807–599, n=1406)88% (51983–7229, n=59212)
Consensus PnL-$61K$701K$17.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #884PM monthly #165PM monthly #258
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +40 pts n=127, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +31 pts n=52469, ROI +22%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won50% of 2 at avg 49¢, ROI −7%83% of 1062 at avg 54¢, ROI +18%99% of 52599 at avg 67¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢0%6% (won 63% of 59)4% (won 91% of 2329)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 0% of 1)35% (won 76% of 374)15% (won 96% of 8078)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 1)43% (won 88% of 455)33% (won 99% of 17113)
Entries 70¢ and up0%16% (won 94% of 174)48% (won 100% of 25079)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.