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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HerrieDavis | yoyoyoyoer | LuckyWin | noreasapa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 27% (885–2359, n=3244) | 57% (48–36, n=84) | 88% (726–102, n=828) | 93% (3539–260, n=3799) |
| Consensus PnL | -$788K | $8.1K | $30K | $139K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #673 | was PM monthly #359 | was PM monthly #579 | was PM monthly #977 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (177 of 228 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −7 pts, n=48 | Science −3 pts, n=22 |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 2235 at avg 53¢, ROI −3% | 58% of 81 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% | 88% of 770 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% | 93% of 3591 at avg 92¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 30% of 683) | 17% (won 14% of 14) | 7% (won 8% of 51) | 6% (won 13% of 212) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 94% of 233) | 23% (won 47% of 19) | 4% (won 42% of 33) | 2% (won 51% of 55) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 98% of 375) | 26% (won 71% of 21) | 6% (won 55% of 49) | 1% (won 72% of 39) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 100% of 944) | 33% (won 78% of 27) | 83% (won 99% of 637) | 91% (won 100% of 3285) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HerrieDavis | yoyoyoyoer | LuckyWin | noreasapa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $16 | Yes $85K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1 | Yes $5.0K |