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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HerrieDavis | yoyoyoyoer | LuckyWin | M4ken168 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 27% (885–2359, n=3244) | 57% (48–36, n=84) | 88% (726–102, n=828) | 67% (34–17, n=51) |
| Consensus PnL | -$788K | $8.1K | $30K | $50K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #673 | was PM monthly #359 | was PM monthly #579 | was PM monthly #374 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (177 of 228 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −7 pts, n=48 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 2235 at avg 53¢, ROI −3% | 58% of 81 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% | 88% of 770 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 31 at avg 57¢, ROI +43% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 30% of 683) | 17% (won 14% of 14) | 7% (won 8% of 51) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 94% of 233) | 23% (won 47% of 19) | 4% (won 42% of 33) | 26% (won 100% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 98% of 375) | 26% (won 71% of 21) | 6% (won 55% of 49) | 65% (won 100% of 20) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 100% of 944) | 33% (won 78% of 27) | 83% (won 99% of 637) | 10% (won 100% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.