PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HerrieDavisyoyoyoyoer0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Satanishippie
Record (consensus markets)27% (885–2359, n=3244)57% (48–36, n=84)no settled market49% (320–335, n=655)
Consensus PnL-$788K$8.1K—-$105K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #673was PM monthly #359was PM monthly #715was PM monthly #917
Sides with the consensus78% (177 of 228 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +4 pts n=33, ROI +5%
  • NHL +4 pts n=195, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——College Basketball −13 pts, n=165—
Settled positions, side won77% of 2235 at avg 53¢, ROI −3%58% of 81 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%49% of 1307 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%83% of 384 at avg 56¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 30% of 683)17% (won 14% of 14)0% (won 17% of 6)2% (won 44% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 94% of 233)23% (won 47% of 19)42% (won 46% of 553)21% (won 73% of 80)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 98% of 375)26% (won 71% of 21)57% (won 51% of 744)67% (won 86% of 257)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 100% of 944)33% (won 78% of 27)0% (won 100% of 4)10% (won 89% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.