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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | QWUERHAIUKSJNFSNCF | robustmst | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (233–198, n=431) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 42% (13–18, n=31) | 50% (5–5, n=10) |
| Consensus PnL | $261K | -$2.1K | $208K | $183K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #938 | PM monthly #28 | PM monthly #64 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (62 of 89 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 4 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 1) | — | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 31) | — | 85% (won 100% of 11) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 57% (won 100% of 55) | — | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 10) | — | 0% | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | QWUERHAIUKSJNFSNCF | robustmst | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $5.9K | Trail Blazers $367 | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.5K | Under $221 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.4K | Under $446 | — | — |