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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HomeRunHazardQWUERHAIUKSJNFSNCF
Record (consensus markets)54% (233–198, n=431)43% (10–13, n=23)
Consensus PnL$261K-$2.1K
Tracked asPM monthly #7was PM monthly #938
Sides with the consensus69% (67 of 97 open)56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%—
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 31)—
Entries 50–70¢57% (won 100% of 55)—
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 100% of 10)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHomeRunHazardQWUERHAIUKSJNFSNCF
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Thunder $5.9KTrail Blazers $367
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.5KUnder $221
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.4KUnder $446