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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Hawk.liveRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (13362–14874, n=28236)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$14.8M—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #797PM monthly #24 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)65% (103 of 159 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicEsports ±0 pts, n=512——
Settled positions, side won56% of 518 at avg 56¢, ROI −3%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢23% (won 4% of 120)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 28% of 79)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 68% of 127)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up37% (won 92% of 192)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.