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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GroyperFinanceprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)80% (40–10, n=50)50% (1127–1147, n=2274)48% (14338–15838, n=30176)
Consensus PnL$91K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #531PM monthly #51PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (12 of 19 open)49% (31 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won78% of 46 at avg 67¢, ROI +3%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 23% of 13)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 100% of 2)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 100% of 3)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up61% (won 100% of 28)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGroyperFinanceprimmRN1
Spread: Arizona (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
—TCU $9.1KArizona $579
Spread: Arizona (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—TCU $2.7KArizona $2.9K
Spread: Arizona (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
—TCU $1.7KArizona $1.3K
Spread: Arizona (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—TCU $864Arizona $1.3K
Spread: Arizona (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
—TCU $1.2KArizona $872
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $743Under $1.1K
Spread: Arizona (-8.5)
same side · consensus Arizona
—TCU $834TCU $2.3K
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $355Over $1.4K