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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Gaditimabeachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)39% (276–424, n=700)69% (43–19, n=62)45% (501–601, n=1102)48% (11676–12428, n=24104)
Consensus PnL-$7.4K$5.8M$9.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #384was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)100% (1 of 1 open)69% (22 of 32 open)64% (9 of 14 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −4 pts, n=96——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 216 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 17% of 6)11% (won 87% of 52)10% (won 56% of 2452)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 57% of 63)34% (won 98% of 169)22% (won 94% of 5319)
Entries 50–70¢—55% (won 53% of 118)34% (won 99% of 170)36% (won 99% of 8623)
Entries 70¢ and up—13% (won 86% of 29)21% (won 100% of 103)31% (won 100% of 7308)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGaditimabeachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.5K—Yes $4.6K—