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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1Rhabarberbarbarbar
Record (consensus markets)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1100–635, n=1735)59% (266–185, n=451)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.2M$4.6M$74K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #110was PM monthly #982
Sides with the consensus65% (143 of 220 open)no open consensus position71% (67 of 94 open)0% (0 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12—NFL −7 pts, n=158Geopolitics −8 pts, n=10
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%60% of 437 at avg 58¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 196)17% (won 7% of 76)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)18% (won 40% of 283)35% (won 46% of 155)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 58% of 348)8% (won 62% of 37)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)46% (won 94% of 710)39% (won 96% of 169)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1Rhabarberbarbarbar
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $357Yes $10