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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677Rhabarberbarbarbar
Record (consensus markets)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)43% (10–13, n=23)59% (271–185, n=456)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.2M$75K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #7was PM monthly #982
Sides with the consensus67% (78 of 117 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12—Geopolitics −8 pts, n=10
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%60% of 437 at avg 58¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)17% (won 7% of 76)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)35% (won 46% of 155)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)8% (won 62% of 37)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)39% (won 96% of 169)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.