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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorphedgie1joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)100% (3–0, n=3)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$6.3K$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #898PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus66% (188 of 283 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 3 at avg 96¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)0%12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)0%6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)0%65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)100% (won 100% of 3)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.