PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpCORGIIBreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (372–218, n=590)45% (501–601, n=1102)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$9.6M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #202PM monthly #161PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)70% (23 of 33 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won89% of 46 at avg 45¢, ROI +38%98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 38% of 8)9% (won 91% of 35)11% (won 87% of 52)0%
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 100% of 13)55% (won 99% of 209)34% (won 98% of 169)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 21)34% (won 100% of 127)34% (won 99% of 170)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 100% of 4)2% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 100% of 103)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.