PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FeedTheBigBird0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710wr0ngw4yb3tt0rRN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (30–29, n=59)49% (1212–1266, n=2478)95% (1938–95, n=2033)49% (7025–7367, n=14392)
Consensus PnL$6.5K$60K$36.5M$13.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #904Hand-pickedPM monthly #48Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)33% (4 of 12 open)no open consensus position82% (14 of 17 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74——
Settled positions, side won97% of 29 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%100% of 1652 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%24% (won 19% of 254)1% (won 100% of 24)10% (won 49% of 2167)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 90% of 10)23% (won 40% of 241)41% (won 100% of 670)22% (won 92% of 4547)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 100% of 18)29% (won 70% of 304)49% (won 100% of 805)36% (won 98% of 7502)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 89% of 250)9% (won 100% of 153)31% (won 100% of 6514)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.