PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Executor3980xc33a100b8362bc732e78cce28c99739f173b3da3std00x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (179–23, n=202)95% (10382–509, n=10891)49% (1212–1267, n=2479)
Consensus PnL—$474K$34K$60K
Tracked asPM monthly #499was PM monthly #974was PM monthly #985Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position25% (3 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=40, ROI +55%
  • MLB +48 pts n=75, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +51 pts n=32, ROI +49%
  • Crypto +45 pts n=5979, ROI +46%
Weakest topic———Politics −6 pts, n=74
Settled positions, side won78% of 73 at avg 27¢, ROI +32%100% of 232 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%99% of 5979 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢77% (won 75% of 56)9% (won 100% of 20)1% (won 45% of 65)24% (won 19% of 254)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 75% of 4)40% (won 99% of 93)15% (won 98% of 885)23% (won 40% of 241)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 88% of 8)47% (won 100% of 110)78% (won 100% of 4649)29% (won 70% of 304)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 5)4% (won 100% of 9)6% (won 96% of 380)24% (won 89% of 250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.