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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ElonSpam | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (1263–1552, n=2815) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | $88K | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #843 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (55 of 95 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 3104 at avg 47¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 9% of 1048) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 39% of 465) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 59% of 733) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 92% of 858) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ElonSpam | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ducks vs. Canucks same side · consensus Ducks | Ducks $5.5K | — | Ducks $614 |