PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
XYZ7676timingiskeyRockyZet0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819
Record (consensus markets)51% (121–114, n=235)87% (58–9, n=67)64% (179–99, n=278)49% (273–287, n=560)
Consensus PnL$58K-$21K$100K$87K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #992PM monthly #556Hand-pickedPM monthly #743
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (9 of 9 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Elections ±0 pts, n=101—
Settled positions, side won65% of 166 at avg 48¢, ROI +18%50% of 8 at avg 95¢, ROI −84%65% of 354 at avg 63¢, ROI +1%97% of 137 at avg 59¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 25% of 24)0%30% (won 10% of 106)12% (won 88% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 59% of 51)0%6% (won 32% of 22)23% (won 100% of 32)
Entries 50–70¢51% (won 79% of 84)0%6% (won 57% of 23)30% (won 98% of 41)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 86% of 7)100% (won 50% of 8)57% (won 98% of 203)34% (won 98% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.