PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQqidao001Zombie77RN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (27–51, n=78)no settled market88% (14–2, n=16)49% (10197–10762, n=20959)
Consensus PnL$538—$31K$13.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533PM monthly #354was PM monthly #955Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position44% (7 of 16 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—56% of 126 at avg 46¢, ROI +4%95% of 21 at avg 88¢, ROI +10%93% of 22536 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 0% of 18)0%10% (won 55% of 2348)
Entries 30–50¢—37% (won 53% of 47)0%22% (won 94% of 5069)
Entries 50–70¢—48% (won 74% of 61)0%37% (won 99% of 8230)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%100% (won 95% of 21)31% (won 100% of 6889)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.