PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQqidao00188MNiNo999
Record (consensus markets)35% (27–51, n=78)no settled market49% (678–702, n=1380)89% (522–66, n=588)
Consensus PnL$538—$532K$9.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533PM monthly #354was PM monthly #629was PM monthly #985
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topic——Mentions −14 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 126 at avg 46¢, ROI +4%55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 0% of 18)27% (won 18% of 337)7% (won 81% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢—37% (won 53% of 47)36% (won 58% of 455)39% (won 85% of 197)
Entries 50–70¢—48% (won 74% of 61)30% (won 75% of 371)49% (won 94% of 244)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%7% (won 87% of 94)5% (won 96% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.