PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)35% (27–51, n=78)87% (137–20, n=157)47% (395–447, n=842)49% (10197–10762, n=20959)
Consensus PnL$538$130K$11K$13.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #1000Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (17 of 17 open)0% (0 of 1 open)53% (9 of 17 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—89% of 195 at avg 85¢, ROI +3%98% of 400 at avg 56¢, ROI +39%93% of 22536 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 0% of 10)6% (won 87% of 23)10% (won 55% of 2348)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 0% of 4)28% (won 97% of 112)22% (won 94% of 5069)
Entries 50–70¢—7% (won 92% of 13)44% (won 99% of 177)37% (won 99% of 8230)
Entries 70¢ and up—86% (won 96% of 168)22% (won 100% of 88)31% (won 100% of 6889)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.