PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQ0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731ccllarRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (27–51, n=78)46% (758–875, n=1633)47% (395–447, n=842)49% (10197–10762, n=20959)
Consensus PnL$538$922K$11K$13.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533was PM monthly #746was PM monthly #1000Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position86% (6 of 7 open)0% (0 of 1 open)53% (9 of 17 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Mentions −15 pts, n=46——
Settled positions, side won—58% of 1264 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%98% of 400 at avg 56¢, ROI +39%93% of 22536 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—22% (won 37% of 274)6% (won 87% of 23)10% (won 55% of 2348)
Entries 30–50¢—44% (won 57% of 556)28% (won 97% of 112)22% (won 94% of 5069)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 72% of 419)44% (won 99% of 177)37% (won 99% of 8230)
Entries 70¢ and up—1% (won 93% of 15)22% (won 100% of 88)31% (won 100% of 6889)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.