PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQ0x08A30A0A0fb71ebDdc8907145791030782B88666-1782204100295ColdWNiNo999
Record (consensus markets)35% (27–51, n=78)65% (45–24, n=69)66% (1754–900, n=2654)89% (522–66, n=588)
Consensus PnL$538-$172K$234K$9.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533was PM monthly #57was PM monthly #893was PM monthly #985
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=308—
Settled positions, side won—87% of 52 at avg 71¢, ROI +20%58% of 2425 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—0%22% (won 12% of 542)7% (won 81% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 42% of 483)39% (won 85% of 197)
Entries 50–70¢—46% (won 75% of 24)22% (won 63% of 525)49% (won 94% of 244)
Entries 70¢ and up—50% (won 96% of 26)36% (won 92% of 875)5% (won 96% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.