PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CustomTraderthetesterguyRN1sportteryqq
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (24–1, n=25)49% (7116–7479, n=14595)46% (342–399, n=741)
Consensus PnL—$27K$13.3M$61K
Tracked asPM monthly #841PM monthly #532Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #904
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)43% (60 of 140 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—96% of 25 at avg 93¢, ROI +2%93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 342 at avg 50¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 52% of 2020)10% (won 97% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢—0%22% (won 93% of 4355)42% (won 99% of 142)
Entries 50–70¢—0%37% (won 99% of 7260)35% (won 98% of 121)
Entries 70¢ and up—100% (won 96% of 25)31% (won 100% of 5998)13% (won 100% of 44)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCustomTraderthetesterguyRN1sportteryqq
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $132KUnder $899—