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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CustomTrader | fortuneking | thetesterguy | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 59% (538–379, n=917) | 96% (24–1, n=25) | 49% (7116–7479, n=14595) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $91K | $27K | $13.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #841 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #532 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 51% (82 of 160 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports ±0 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 57% of 924 at avg 53¢, ROI +4% | 96% of 25 at avg 93¢, ROI +2% | 93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 23% (won 20% of 214) | 0% | 10% (won 52% of 2020) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 21% (won 45% of 194) | 0% | 22% (won 93% of 4355) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 23% (won 66% of 212) | 0% | 37% (won 99% of 7260) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 33% (won 86% of 304) | 100% (won 96% of 25) | 31% (won 100% of 5998) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CustomTrader | fortuneking | thetesterguy | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $132K | Under $1.5K |